As we prepare for the fourth edition of the Eurovision Audience Poll in Vienna, we investigate three years of data to see how well the arena crowd predicts the final scoreboard. Discover why the poll favors high-tempo anthems and Western entries, and why you should take the results with exactly two pinches of salt.

We're just hours away from the beginning of the Eurovision Song Contest - so what does The Model say would happen if it was held today? James Stephenson analyses the final projection before the Contest really begins, and what could lie in store for us in Vienna.

The shift between Semi-Final and Grand Final results reveals that the Eurovision Saturday audience is not just larger, but fundamentally different in its voting behavior. This analysis explores how casual Saturday night viewers alter the Eurovision scoreboard, but also how even the most diehard Eurovision viewers may increasingly be voting tactically throughout Song Contest week itself.

While many host cities use Eurovision to reinvent themselves, Vienna is simply opening up its world-class tourist destination package to the world to host one of the biggest Song Contests in history. But what does Vienna want visitors to take away from their time in Austria this year?

The Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is just around the corner, but how sure are we of what's going to happen? James Stephenson has been using The Model to work it out - and here's what he thinks could make its calculations come undone.